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2024-12-14 11:01:24

Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.The first-phase factory construction project of Aidi Precision (Thailand) started. According to Aidi Precision, in order to better lay out the global market, on December 12, Aidi Precision's first overseas manufacturing factory, Aidi Precision (Thailand), officially started construction. The construction project of Aidi Precision (Thailand) Factory, with a total investment of 35 million US dollars, covers an area of 122 mu and a workshop area of about 60,000 square meters. It will be engaged in the production, manufacture and sales of high-end hydraulic components and hydraulic fittings for construction machinery. The first phase of the project is scheduled to be completed and put into operation in October 2025.Inter-bank cash bonds are strong as a whole, and national debt and CDB active bonds are down by 3-5bp. The 5-year treasury bonds and CDB active bonds went down by about 5bp, and "24 Treasury bonds with interest 20" reported 1.42%, which was a record low compared with yield to maturity, a Chinese bond in the same period, and "24 CDB 08" reported 1.515% in the same period, a record low since January 26th, 2006. The 10-year "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" initially declined, and now it remains below 1.8%.


Treasury bond futures opened, with 30-year main contracts rising by 0.48%, 10-year main contracts rising by 0.36%, 5-year main contracts rising by 0.25% and 2-year main contracts rising by 0.05%.Foreign media: Trump "strongly opposes" Ukraine's use of American-made missiles to attack Russia's hinterland, and at the same time says that he will not give up Ukraine. According to Reuters's report, US President-elect Trump criticized Ukraine's use of American-made missiles to attack targets in Russia on the 12th local time, arguing that this has aggravated the escalation of the war between Russia and Ukraine. However, he also mentioned that he would not give up Ukraine. When talking about the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Trump said in an interview, "What happened is crazy. This is crazy. I strongly object to launching missiles hundreds of miles into Russia. Why are we doing this? This will only escalate this war and make the situation worse. " According to the report, Trump hopes to end this "war" that lasted for nearly three years as soon as possible, but he is more cautious about revealing specific details. When asked if Kiev would cut its military and humanitarian aid to Ukraine if it did not agree to the peace agreement, Trump responded, "I think I have a very good plan to help Ukraine, but when I started to disclose this plan, it would almost become a worthless plan." In addition, when asked if he would give up Ukraine, Trump replied, "I hope to reach an agreement, and the only way to reach an agreement is not to give up." (World Wide Web)Shenzhen accelerates to build a new generation of world-class automobile cities. The total output of automobiles this year is expected to exceed 2.8 million. Over the past hundred years, many well-known "automobile cities" have emerged continuously in the world automobile industry. As one of the earliest cities to develop new energy industry, Shenzhen has a solid foundation for industrial development, actively seizing the historical opportunity of global automobile industry reform and achieving "overtaking in corners" on new energy automobile tracks. In 2023, the output of new energy vehicles in the city reached 1.733 million, ranking first among cities in China. With the acceleration of intelligent process and the high coordination of industrial chain, a "new generation world-class automobile city" is accelerating in Shenzhen. (Shenzhen Special Zone Daily)


Food stocks fell at the beginning of the day, and food stocks fell at the beginning, and food stocks fell at the beginning, and Jialong shares, Anji Food, Huang Shanghuang, three squirrels, and Barbie Foods followed suit.Pengyue Automobile Development Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Tucki, was forced to enforce 680,000 yuan. According to the risk information of Tianyan, recently, Guangzhou Pengyue Automobile Development Co., Ltd. and Hunan Chunqiu Engineering Co., Ltd. added a piece of information about the person to be executed, with an execution target of more than 684,000 yuan, involving construction contract disputes. The enforcement court is Tianhe District People's Court of Guangzhou. Guangzhou Pengyue Automobile Development Co., Ltd. was established in August 2021, with the legal representative of Zhao Dawu and the registered capital of 1.88 billion RMB. Its business scope includes auto parts retail, tire sales, investment activities with its own funds, electric vehicle charging infrastructure operation, industrial design service and motor vehicle charging sales, etc. It is wholly owned by Guangzhou Xpeng Motors Technology Co., Ltd.Food stocks fell at the beginning of the day, and food stocks fell at the beginning, and food stocks fell at the beginning, and Jialong shares, Anji Food, Huang Shanghuang, three squirrels, and Barbie Foods followed suit.

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